Virtues of Yukos Re-Nationalization from Russian Perspective
To summarize the point of this posting in a few words, partial renationalization of Yukos today is done to help strengthen governmental regulatory control over publicly traded Russian issuers, by (i) shielding core Russian assets from powerful private corporations like Yukos plundering ruthlessly at Russian wealth (oil reserves) without necessary controls in Russia like those operating in this country through the Federal Securities and Exchange Commission and Office of the Attorney’s General (think Spitzer in NY); (ii) using the revenue derived from partly renationalized assets to create the necessary controls by hiring, retaining, and training qualified personnel to regulate the markets (something lacking right now); (iii) achieving stable and predictable governmental controls so as to boost reliance from international investors in the future. This is not an easy task—we in the US really have a very small idea how bad structurally things are in Russia today, and taking steps in the direction of remedy, for a change, is a Hurculean task. We have to see if it will bear fruit that is edible, and hope for the best. This perspective gives hope that President Putin is not an egocentric maniac--but a concerned leader trying to put Russian economy on its tracks, and the means are desperate, but may be the only ones available under the circumstances.
Final note to our readers—we would appreciate if you could contribute your thoughts as to which alternative methods Pres. Putin could utilize to achieve the results he set out to achieve.
Russia’s emerging governmental regulatory agencies are slowly emerging but still very weak to truly work properly. They are overrun by corruption and fail to attract smart aspiring people to work for them. In addition, government does not have enough funds to expand its personnel to carry out laws it implements. Russia has failed to meet these basic needs to sustain its economy after privatization. Once privatization has happened, government lacked funds and resources to regulate and became a puppet of a massive and powerful private sector, which now benefited from the core Russian assets—oil and gas. Corrupt government branches failed to shield the rest of the population from powerful oligarchs. Thus, neither minority shareholders nor foreign investors of oil companies have any recourse. And, power of new ruling class—the oligarchs effectively prevented any development of the law, since it would effectively prevent them from stealing. To strengthen its government apparatus partial re-nationalization of oil reserves will achieve revenue from which government can build necessary infrastructure to insure true protection of investors.
In any country, making sure that private economy yields positive results (i.e. does not defraud the shareholders and supports society by paying taxes to the government), it needs to have a strong government agencies regulating and overseeing the process. Just think of all the recent scandals we had: Enron, Tyco, etc, etc. in the recent years. They all happened because regulators were asleep at the switch at the time of the wrongdoings. But the prosecutions did happen, so the regulators finally woke up. In Russia, on the contrary, there are no regulators to either sleep or wake up, since the regulatory system at present is so week as to be completely run down by corruption, which means those in the private sector can do whatever they please just so long as they pay, threaten, or commit exemplary murders of those officials in Russia who were not quick enough to catch up the real rules of the game.
To solve its corruption problem Russia has to increase pay to governmental officials. For example, judges get about $600 per month in Moscow where prices are at the world standard and even higher. Most basic things like food costs as much or even higher than it does in NY. To meet the basic needs of their families judges are forced to take bribes. To allow governmental officials to look beyond basic needs of being able to bring bread to the table at the end of their day, like caring about their integrity and their career objectives beyond making a buck, they have to get pay that will cover the essentials. And they don’t in today’s Russia.
To develop its regulatory structure further, like strengthening its Securities and Exchange Commission, Russia has to attract better-qualified personnel and hire more people. It would only be able to do that with increases in its budget. Lacking revenue sources such as from tax revenues, since Russia lacks efficient tax regime, does not have the sources to enforce the scheme since their regulatory agencies are weak and prone to corruption, and is up against corporations that through their present ownership of country’s oil and gas reserves have gotten tremendous power and incentives to avoid the laws and prevent and circumvent any future development of them.
The privatization that took place in the early 90’s was done in a way, which resulted in extremely uneven distribution of wealth to a few favored individuals who got the funds in the first place as government loans that were never repaid. In essence, privatization, sad to say, was larceny on a grandiose scale. But it was more then larceny, which could be later, prosecuted. Russian problems stem from a much more basic fact, that is very hard to grasp, this scale of larceny was so grand, that it created a redistribution of resources in the whole country--the crooks had the country by the gills, and while they were stealing funds into offshore accounts they were also preventing any further developments in the regulatory sector, since those developments would have prevented them from stealing. The result is that the country was slowly moving in the direction of complete anarchy. I say, "was" because fortunately Russia got Putin as its president, who as opposed to Russia’s prior president is actually trying to build something.Below are some historical examples for implications stemming from regulatory impotency described in “Russian Privatization and Corporate Governance: What Went Wrong?” Published in Stanford Law Review, in July, 2000
Bank Menatep (formed and controlled by Mikhail Khodorkovski) acquired Yukos, a major Russian oil holding company, in 1995. For 1996, Yukos' financial statements show revenue of $8.60 per barrel of oil-- about $4 per barrel less than it should have been. [This assumes that Yukos exported roughly 25% of its production, at world prices of around $18/barrel, and sold the balance at domestic prices of around $10.50/barrel. Yukos' revenue is based on translated Yukos financial statements provided to us by Graham Houston of National Economic Research Associates. Houston's numbers are also reported in Jeanne Whalen, Shareholders Rights: Round 2, Moscow Times, Feb. 17, 1998 Mr. Khodorkovski skimmed over 30 cents per dollar of revenue while stiffing his workers on wages, defaulting on tax payments, destroying the value of minority shares in Yukos and its production subsidiaries, and not reinvesting in Yukos' oil fields. It's doubtful that running Yukos honestly could have earned Khodorkovski a fraction of what he earned by skimming revenue, let alone offshore and tax-free. He made a rational, privately value-maximizing choice. Even if running Yukos honestly was the best long-run strategy, Khodorkovski might have preferred present profit to future uncertainty. Besides, skimming was a business that he knew, while oil production was a tough business that he might fail in.
After Yukos defaulted on its loans from western banks when the Russian ruble collapsed in mid-1998, Yukos proposed for shareholder approval the following package of proposals, with minor variations: (i) A massive new share issuance to obscure offshore companies, at prices that valued the companies at 1% or less of their true value, and perhaps 10% of their depressed trading prices. Even that modest amount would be paid not in cash but in promissory notes issued by other Yukos subsidiaries, of dubious legality and even more dubious value. Enough shares were to be issued (between 194% and 243% of the previously outstanding shares) to transfer control from Yukos to the offshore companies. (ii) A multiyear agreement obligating the subsidiary to sell its output to the offshore companies at the laughable price of 250 rubles per ton (around $1.30 per barrel at mid-1999 exchange rates, and headed lower as the ruble depreciates against the dollar). (iii) Shareholder approval of large asset transfers to still other obscure companies, including both past and unidentified future transactions.
Shareholders who opposed these proposals were given the opportunity to sell their shares back to the company at prices that valued the three companies, with proven oil and gas reserves of around 13 billion barrels of oil equivalent, at a total of $33 million-$.0025 per barrel of proven reserves. No, this is not a misprint. (Check materials presented by Michael Hunter, President of Dart Management Inc., a major investor in the Yukos subsidiaries, at the OECD Conference on Corporate Governance in Russia (Moscow, 1999)); Alan S. Cullison, Russian Firm Bars Minor Holders, Passes Contentious Share Increase, Wall St. J., Mar. 24, 1999, at A21; David Hoffman, Out of Step With Russia? Outsider's Battle over Stake in Oil Giant Offers a Glimpse of Nation's Uncertain Capitalist Ways, Wash. Post, Apr. 18, 1999, at H1; Alan S. Cullison, Yukos Transfers Two Oil Units to Offshore Firms, Wall St. J., June 4, 1999, at A12; Alan S. Cullison, Vanishing Act: How Oil Giant Yukos Came to Resemble an Empty Cupboard, Wall St. J. Eur., July 15, 1999, at 1; Alan S. Cullison, Russian Share Shuffle Maddens Investors, Wall St. J., July 23, 1999, at A12.
Yukos eventually settled with Kenneth Dart, reportedly buying his shares for over $100 million--far above market value, but still far below their true value. See Jeanne Whalen, Russia's Yukos to Buy Dart Stock, Ending Long Feud, Wall St. J., Dec. 21, 1999, at A16. Bernard Black was an advisor to the Dart Group in connection with the Yukos transactions described in the text).
The impotency and corruption of governmental agencies is evidenced in that Mr. Khodorkovski's behavior didn't trouble senior Russian officials. In the middle of the scandal, he accompanied then Prime Minister Yevgeni Primakov on a trip to meet President Clinton. And while it did trouble the Securities Commission, which launched an investigation, it wasn’t able to get too far, since the Chairman failed to get the cooperation he needed from other government agencies to bring a court action, and resigned in disgust, while the remaining members approved the share issuances.
Aside from regulatory violations and plain stealing of billions in cash, some even worse developments have occurred. For example, after the mayor of Nefteyugansk publicly demanded that Yukos subsidiary Yuganskneftegaz pay its local taxes and back wages 1998 he was murdered shortly after. In March 1999, Yevgeni Rubin, the head of a company, which had won a lawsuit against Yukos, had his car blown up near his home, with armed attackers waiting to finish off anyone who survived the bomb. By chance, he wasn't inside, but his bodyguards were less fortunate.
In view of above examples it appears that partial renationalization of at least such core assets, as oil is an important undertaking to build the necessary framework for future economic success in Russian developing markets.
Final note to our readers—we would appreciate if you could contribute your thoughts as to which alternative methods Pres. Putin could utilize to achieve the results he set out to achieve.
Russia’s emerging governmental regulatory agencies are slowly emerging but still very weak to truly work properly. They are overrun by corruption and fail to attract smart aspiring people to work for them. In addition, government does not have enough funds to expand its personnel to carry out laws it implements. Russia has failed to meet these basic needs to sustain its economy after privatization. Once privatization has happened, government lacked funds and resources to regulate and became a puppet of a massive and powerful private sector, which now benefited from the core Russian assets—oil and gas. Corrupt government branches failed to shield the rest of the population from powerful oligarchs. Thus, neither minority shareholders nor foreign investors of oil companies have any recourse. And, power of new ruling class—the oligarchs effectively prevented any development of the law, since it would effectively prevent them from stealing. To strengthen its government apparatus partial re-nationalization of oil reserves will achieve revenue from which government can build necessary infrastructure to insure true protection of investors.
In any country, making sure that private economy yields positive results (i.e. does not defraud the shareholders and supports society by paying taxes to the government), it needs to have a strong government agencies regulating and overseeing the process. Just think of all the recent scandals we had: Enron, Tyco, etc, etc. in the recent years. They all happened because regulators were asleep at the switch at the time of the wrongdoings. But the prosecutions did happen, so the regulators finally woke up. In Russia, on the contrary, there are no regulators to either sleep or wake up, since the regulatory system at present is so week as to be completely run down by corruption, which means those in the private sector can do whatever they please just so long as they pay, threaten, or commit exemplary murders of those officials in Russia who were not quick enough to catch up the real rules of the game.
To solve its corruption problem Russia has to increase pay to governmental officials. For example, judges get about $600 per month in Moscow where prices are at the world standard and even higher. Most basic things like food costs as much or even higher than it does in NY. To meet the basic needs of their families judges are forced to take bribes. To allow governmental officials to look beyond basic needs of being able to bring bread to the table at the end of their day, like caring about their integrity and their career objectives beyond making a buck, they have to get pay that will cover the essentials. And they don’t in today’s Russia.
To develop its regulatory structure further, like strengthening its Securities and Exchange Commission, Russia has to attract better-qualified personnel and hire more people. It would only be able to do that with increases in its budget. Lacking revenue sources such as from tax revenues, since Russia lacks efficient tax regime, does not have the sources to enforce the scheme since their regulatory agencies are weak and prone to corruption, and is up against corporations that through their present ownership of country’s oil and gas reserves have gotten tremendous power and incentives to avoid the laws and prevent and circumvent any future development of them.
The privatization that took place in the early 90’s was done in a way, which resulted in extremely uneven distribution of wealth to a few favored individuals who got the funds in the first place as government loans that were never repaid. In essence, privatization, sad to say, was larceny on a grandiose scale. But it was more then larceny, which could be later, prosecuted. Russian problems stem from a much more basic fact, that is very hard to grasp, this scale of larceny was so grand, that it created a redistribution of resources in the whole country--the crooks had the country by the gills, and while they were stealing funds into offshore accounts they were also preventing any further developments in the regulatory sector, since those developments would have prevented them from stealing. The result is that the country was slowly moving in the direction of complete anarchy. I say, "was" because fortunately Russia got Putin as its president, who as opposed to Russia’s prior president is actually trying to build something.Below are some historical examples for implications stemming from regulatory impotency described in “Russian Privatization and Corporate Governance: What Went Wrong?” Published in Stanford Law Review, in July, 2000
Bank Menatep (formed and controlled by Mikhail Khodorkovski) acquired Yukos, a major Russian oil holding company, in 1995. For 1996, Yukos' financial statements show revenue of $8.60 per barrel of oil-- about $4 per barrel less than it should have been. [This assumes that Yukos exported roughly 25% of its production, at world prices of around $18/barrel, and sold the balance at domestic prices of around $10.50/barrel. Yukos' revenue is based on translated Yukos financial statements provided to us by Graham Houston of National Economic Research Associates. Houston's numbers are also reported in Jeanne Whalen, Shareholders Rights: Round 2, Moscow Times, Feb. 17, 1998 Mr. Khodorkovski skimmed over 30 cents per dollar of revenue while stiffing his workers on wages, defaulting on tax payments, destroying the value of minority shares in Yukos and its production subsidiaries, and not reinvesting in Yukos' oil fields. It's doubtful that running Yukos honestly could have earned Khodorkovski a fraction of what he earned by skimming revenue, let alone offshore and tax-free. He made a rational, privately value-maximizing choice. Even if running Yukos honestly was the best long-run strategy, Khodorkovski might have preferred present profit to future uncertainty. Besides, skimming was a business that he knew, while oil production was a tough business that he might fail in.
After Yukos defaulted on its loans from western banks when the Russian ruble collapsed in mid-1998, Yukos proposed for shareholder approval the following package of proposals, with minor variations: (i) A massive new share issuance to obscure offshore companies, at prices that valued the companies at 1% or less of their true value, and perhaps 10% of their depressed trading prices. Even that modest amount would be paid not in cash but in promissory notes issued by other Yukos subsidiaries, of dubious legality and even more dubious value. Enough shares were to be issued (between 194% and 243% of the previously outstanding shares) to transfer control from Yukos to the offshore companies. (ii) A multiyear agreement obligating the subsidiary to sell its output to the offshore companies at the laughable price of 250 rubles per ton (around $1.30 per barrel at mid-1999 exchange rates, and headed lower as the ruble depreciates against the dollar). (iii) Shareholder approval of large asset transfers to still other obscure companies, including both past and unidentified future transactions.
Shareholders who opposed these proposals were given the opportunity to sell their shares back to the company at prices that valued the three companies, with proven oil and gas reserves of around 13 billion barrels of oil equivalent, at a total of $33 million-$.0025 per barrel of proven reserves. No, this is not a misprint. (Check materials presented by Michael Hunter, President of Dart Management Inc., a major investor in the Yukos subsidiaries, at the OECD Conference on Corporate Governance in Russia (Moscow, 1999)); Alan S. Cullison, Russian Firm Bars Minor Holders, Passes Contentious Share Increase, Wall St. J., Mar. 24, 1999, at A21; David Hoffman, Out of Step With Russia? Outsider's Battle over Stake in Oil Giant Offers a Glimpse of Nation's Uncertain Capitalist Ways, Wash. Post, Apr. 18, 1999, at H1; Alan S. Cullison, Yukos Transfers Two Oil Units to Offshore Firms, Wall St. J., June 4, 1999, at A12; Alan S. Cullison, Vanishing Act: How Oil Giant Yukos Came to Resemble an Empty Cupboard, Wall St. J. Eur., July 15, 1999, at 1; Alan S. Cullison, Russian Share Shuffle Maddens Investors, Wall St. J., July 23, 1999, at A12.
Yukos eventually settled with Kenneth Dart, reportedly buying his shares for over $100 million--far above market value, but still far below their true value. See Jeanne Whalen, Russia's Yukos to Buy Dart Stock, Ending Long Feud, Wall St. J., Dec. 21, 1999, at A16. Bernard Black was an advisor to the Dart Group in connection with the Yukos transactions described in the text).
The impotency and corruption of governmental agencies is evidenced in that Mr. Khodorkovski's behavior didn't trouble senior Russian officials. In the middle of the scandal, he accompanied then Prime Minister Yevgeni Primakov on a trip to meet President Clinton. And while it did trouble the Securities Commission, which launched an investigation, it wasn’t able to get too far, since the Chairman failed to get the cooperation he needed from other government agencies to bring a court action, and resigned in disgust, while the remaining members approved the share issuances.
Aside from regulatory violations and plain stealing of billions in cash, some even worse developments have occurred. For example, after the mayor of Nefteyugansk publicly demanded that Yukos subsidiary Yuganskneftegaz pay its local taxes and back wages 1998 he was murdered shortly after. In March 1999, Yevgeni Rubin, the head of a company, which had won a lawsuit against Yukos, had his car blown up near his home, with armed attackers waiting to finish off anyone who survived the bomb. By chance, he wasn't inside, but his bodyguards were less fortunate.
In view of above examples it appears that partial renationalization of at least such core assets, as oil is an important undertaking to build the necessary framework for future economic success in Russian developing markets.
